NBA betting: Bets that stand out for Knicks-Pacers Game 4

  • André Snellings

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    André Snellings

    ESPN Senior Writer

      Dr. André Snellings is a senior writer for men’s and women’s fantasy basketball and sports betting at ESPN. André has a Ph.D. in biomedical engineering from Michigan. He joined ESPN in 2017 after a 16-year career as a neural engineer, during which time he was also a writer and analyst for Rotowire.
  • Eric Moody

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    Eric Moody

    ESPN Writer

      Eric Moody is a writer for fantasy football, men’s and women’s basketball, and sports betting at ESPN. Eric joined ESPN in 2021 after working as a senior fantasy analyst at Pro Football Network. Prior to that, he spent much of his career as a manager at a Fortune 100 financial services company.

May 27, 2025, 12:02 PM ET

The New York Knicks stormed back to win Game 3 and make this a series against the Indiana Pacers, and now everything hinges on Game 4 on Tuesday night. Another win by the Knicks on Indiana’s home court and this series draws even at 2-2. But a Pacers’ victory and Indiana takes a commanding 3-1 lead and regains control of the series.

New York needed a huge fourth quarter from Karl-Anthony Towns to erase a 20-point deficit in Game 3, and the Knicks don’t want to leave themselves in that type of situation again in Game 4.

Given all the storylines, here are some of the bets that stand out for Tuesday night’s game.

Odds are as of publication time. For the most up-to-date odds, visit ESPN BET

Bets for Tuesday

T.J. McConnell over 8.5 points (-105). McConnell has been very consistent in his role as a spark scorer off the bench, scoring 10 or more points in five of his last six games including all three against the Knicks. McConnell is also a battle-tested veteran, and with the Pacers looking to bounce-back into the win column after a Game 3 loss I expected McConnell to be a productive leader off the bench again in Game 4. — Snellings

Karl-Anthony Towns over 33.5 total points and rebounds (-120). Towns is coming off perhaps the biggest fourth quarter of his career in Game 3, when he dropped 20 points after managing only four through the first three quarters. The end result was a 24-point, 15-rebound effort that led the Knicks to the win. In Towns’ last eight games overall, he has averaged 23.0 PPG and 12.1 RPG (35.1 P+R) while going over 33.5 in five of the eight. His numbers against the Pacers in particular are more striking, where he has gone over 33.5 P+R in seven of his last eight matchups (including five times in six matchups this season, including playoffs). — Snellings

Jalen Brunson over 30.5 points (-105). He has a strong track record of bouncing back after subpar performances, and the Knicks will need a big game from him after he struggled in Game 3. Brunson played only 30 minutes in that game because the second unit was playing so well, but I expect him to play over 40 minutes in Game 4. The Pacers are likely to adjust defensively to limit Towns after his 24-point, 15-rebound night, which should lead to a higher usage rate for Brunson. He’s averaged 31.5 PPG in games where he attempts 20 or more shots and has cleared this line in 11 of 15 games this season when playing at least 40 minutes. — Moody

Projections and injury reports

Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics. Injury aggregation by Rotowire.com. Odds by ESPN BET

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers
8 p.m. ET

Line: Knicks +2.5 (-110) | Pacers -2.5 (-110)
Money line: Knicks +115 | Pacers -135
Total: 220.5 (-115 O, -105 U)
BPI Projection: Pacers by 1.7, straight up 56%, 223.9 total points.

Injury Report:
Knicks: None reported
Pacers: Aaron Nesmith, (GTD – Ankle); Isaiah Jackson, (OFS – Achilles)

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